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Recreational Use & Carrying Capacity Assessment

Lake Rhodhiss Existing Recreational Areas

There are 5 developed Duke Power-owned public recreational access locations on Lake Rhodhiss and the Marsh Project area, leased by Duck's Unlimited and the State of North Carolina. Figure 3.2-1 shows the public recreational access locations. In addition, there is 1 commercial non-residential and 1 commercial residential marina that provide additional access on Lake Rhodhiss. The following sections describe the Duke Power-owned public access areas and provide estimates of the number and types of commercial recreational access facilities at Lake Rhodhiss.

Existing Duke Power-owned Public Access Areas

The developed Duke Power-owned public access areas provide about 247 acres and about 15,756 feet of shoreline frontage of public access at Lake Rhodhiss. Combined, the developed access areas have 11 public boat ramps, 6 loading piers, and about 350 car/trailer and 20 vehicle parking spaces. Table 3.2-3 summarizes the facilities at the public access areas. The NCWRC, under an agreement with Duke Power, maintains all of the access areas on Lake Rhodhiss.

In the 1994 SMP, Duke Power proposed improving the Castle Bridge access area (replace 1 ramp with 6 new ramps, replace 2 piers with 3 new piers, and add 150 paved parking spaces), relocate the Tator Hole site (add 4 new ramps, 2 loading piers, and 100 paved parking spaces). In addition, Duke Power said it would add 5 acres of land at Castle Bridge (45 acres added), add 20 acres to the Conley Creek site (64 added) and provide 100 acres at the relocated Tator Hole site (now called the Rhodhiss site where 127 acres were provided). All of the commitments were met except for the provision of 4 boat ramps at the Rhodhiss site where, after consultation with the NCWRC and FERC, only 2 ramps and 1 pier were provided initially.

The NCWRC has entered into a creative partnership with Duke Power for the maintenance and operation of the non-leased access areas. Under this agreement Duke Power pays the NCWRC to maintain the access areas and the NCWRC makes at least the same capital dollar amount available to Duke Power, and agency lessees for the non boat launching portion of the access areas, for improvements that will help the boating public. This agreement is a continuation of a long established partnership with the NCWRC with the added benefit of designated cost sharing capital dollars for access area improvements.

Table 3.2-3
Lake Rhodhiss Duke Power-Owned Public Access Areas

Access Area Name Acreage Shoreline
Frontage (ft)
Boat Ramps Loading Piers Fishing Piers Car
Parking
(Spaces)
V/T*
Parking
(Spaces)
Johns River 1.8 172 1 1 0 0 30
Huffman Bridge 2.3 610 0 0 0 20 0
Castle Bridge 47.7 1,290 6 3 0 0 150
Conley Creek 67.9 4,842 2 1 0 0 70
Rhodhiss 126.9 8,842 2 1 0 0 100
Total 246.6 15,756 11 6 0 20 350

* Vehicle/Trailer parking areas

Existing Commercial and Private Recreational Access

In addition to the Duke Power-owned public access areas, the public and lake neighbors can gain access to Lake Rhodhiss through a commercial non-residential marina. Private access to Lake Rhodhiss is through a private marina and private piers along the Lake Rhodhiss shoreline. Table 3.2-4 summarizes the number and types of public and private commercial non-residential and commercial residential marina facilities. Table 3.2-5 summarizes the estimated number of private piers.

Table 3.2-4
Summary of Lake Rhodhiss Commercial Recreational Access Facilities

Type of Facility Commercial
Non-Residential
Commercial Residential
Public Marinas 1 0
Private Marinas 0 1
Wet Slips 62 2
Dry Slips 0 0

Table 3.2-5
Summary of Lake Rhodhiss Private Recreational Access Facilities

Type of Facility No. Private Facilities
Piers 5

Lake Rhodhiss Recreational Use Assessment

Visitation figures at the public access areas on Lake Rhodhiss were derived based on estimates of the traffic entering the Duke Power-owned public access areas. For the 1999 study period, there was an estimated total of 228,010 visits for Lake Rhodhiss at these sites. Figure 3.2-2 shows the distribution of the visitation for each month at Lake Rhodhiss for the Duke Power-owned public access areas during the 1999 study period. A visit is considered a vehicle or vehicle/trailer entering the site for any part of a day.

Table 3.2-6 shows the estimated recreational visitation based on the traffic counter data for the sampled sites during the 1999 study period. Of the Duke Power-owned Lake Rhodhiss access areas, those experiencing the greatest usage were Castle Bridge, Rhodhiss, and Conley Creek with estimates of 51 percent, 22 percent, and 15 percent, respectively, of the total estimated use.

Based on survey data input, the estimated ratio for annual visits to the project area for Survey B respondents (respondents that use both public and private access areas) compared to Survey C respondents (respondents at the public access areas) was 1.27 to 1. The estimated overall recreational visitation for Lake Rhodhiss for the 1999 study period totaled 288,655 visits.

Lake Rhodhiss Boat Carrying Capacity Assessment

The overall boat carrying capacity is assessed based on the peak boating use estimates obtained during the flyovers in the 1999 study period. The available boating acreage was adjusted from the base boats per acreage estimate (see Table 3.2-7) by the following factors (Warren and Rea, 1989, as modified):

Factor Adjustment
1. Location of the lake in relation to population served 0
2. Multiple use of water area -
3. Shoreline configuration -
4. Amount of open water -
5. Amount of facility and shoreline development -
6. Crowding rating 0
  Total -3

Table 3.2-7
Boat Type Acreage Adjustment
(Source:  Modified from Warren and Rea, 1989)

Boat Activity Type Low -4 -3 -2 -1 Base 1 2 3 4 High
Fishing 10.0 9.0 8.0 6.0 5.0 4.3 4.0 3.3 3.0 2.3 2.0
Canoe/kayak 2.5 2.3 2.0 1.8 1.5 1.3 1.1 1.0 0.8 0.7 0.5
Motor boating 18.0 17.0 15.0 13.0 11.0 9.0 8.0 7.0 6.0 5.0 3.0
Sailing 10.0 9.0 8.0 6.0 5.0 4.3 4.0 3.3 3.0 2.3 2.0
Jet skiing 10.0 9.0 8.0 6.0 5.0 4.3 4.0 3.3 3.0 2.3 2.0
Water skiing 20.0 18.0 17.0 15.0 14.0 12.0 11.0 10.0 9.0 8.0 7.0

Table 3.2-8 summarizes the assessment of the optimum overall boat capacity based on the usable boating water surface acreage and the boating activity mix identified from the surveys. Table 3.2-9 provides the assessment of the percent capacity of the boat use for Lake Rhodhiss on the peak day during the 1999 study period. During the weekday, Lake Rhodhiss was estimated at 11 percent capacity; during the weekend, at 9 percent capacity; and during the peak holiday period, at 19 percent capacity for overall boating use.

Table 3.2-8
Lake Rhodhiss Boat Carrying Capacity Assessment

Boat Activity Usable Acreage Use Factor Opt. No. Boats % Usage Boat
Activity
Mix
Persons/ Boat Total Users
Fishing 3,060 8.0 383 60.0% 230 3.14 722
Canoe/Kayak 3,060 2.0 1,530 12.0% 184 3.26 600
Motor Boating 1,743 15.0 116 13.0% 15 3.90 59
Sailing 1,743 8.0 218 0% - 3.36 -
Jet Skiing 1,743 8.0 218 13.0% 28 3.85 108
Water Skiing 1,743 17.0 103 2.0% 2 4.39 9
Total       100% 459   1,498

Table 3.2-9
Lake Rhodhiss Estimated 1999 Study Period Boat Capacity

Peak Use Weekday % Capacity Weekend % Capacity Holiday % Capacity
No. Boats 49 11% 41 9% 89 19%

The overall boat carrying capacity assessment provides an assessment of the total surface area of boating use. To assess the areas of the lakes with higher boating density, the general location of boating activity was recorded during the flyovers for each day of aerial coverage. Figure 3.2-3 shows the location of boats during the peak use day for Lake Rhodhiss. Figure 3.2-4 shows the boating density on Lake Rhodhiss for the peak use day, and denotes areas with the greatest clustering of boating activity. Figure 3.2-5 shows the boat density map based on the composite of the five highest boating use days. This figure illustrates the areas with boating use most often occurred during the peak use days during the study period and provides an assessment of areas with high density boating during this same period.

Based on the boat capacity study in Table 3.2-9, there are no crowding problems on Lake Rhodhiss. The highest capacity reached was 19% on holiday weekends. The Peak Use Day Boat Density map, Figure 3.2-4 (for only one day), does show one area where the boat density is higher than the rest of the lake, but the acres available per boat for are adequate for all boating activities. When averaging the five highest boat count days, Figure 3.2-5, no crowding problems are identified. For all of the remaining times during the year the boat density levels are very low.

Lake Rhodhiss Estimated Future Recreational Demand

Table 3.2-10 provides the population projections for the counties within 50-60 miles of Lake Rhodhiss. Population projections were conducted for the impact zone using a combination of 1970 - 1990 population data and 2000 and 2010 population projections from U.S. Census Bureau data; these figures were used to make projections for 2030, 2040, and 2050

Table 3.2-10
Lake Rhodhiss Estimated Population Projections for the Impact Zone

County 1999 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
Burke 77,086 85,651 92,340 98,366 108,595 119,888 132,355
McDowell 37,166 41,296 44,196 46,347 50,404 54,816 59,614
Wilkes 57,966 64,407 66,789 68,158 72,777 77,710 82,976
Alexander 29,121 32,357 36,056 39,314 45,333
52,273 60,275
Watauga 37,759 41,954 45,542 48,552 56,388 65,488 76,056
Avery 14,149 15,721 16,002 16,054 16,853 17,692 18,573
Caldwell 68,560 76,178 78,758 80,411 86,374 92,779 99,659
Rutherford 54,126 60,140 62,576 64,776 69,009 73,519 78,323
Cleveland 83,358 92,620 96,803 100,034 106,779 113,979 121,664
Lincoln 54,839 60,932 70,132 79,229 94,689 113,166 135,248
Catawba 120,581 133,979 146,217 157,650 176,071 196,645 219,623
Total 634,711 705,235 755,411 798,891 883,272 977,955 1,084,366

Table 3.2-11 provides the estimated recreational use for the impact zone through the year 2050. Current use estimates are based on spot counts and responses to surveys. The recreational use projections were estimated by computing the projected population increase for the impact zone and incorporating indexed values for future recreational use for the various activities. The index values for each activity were obtained from "Outdoor Recreation in American Life: A National Assessment of Demand and Supply Trends" (Cordell, 1999). The indices are based on models that incorporate a number of variables, including age structure of the population, income, race, sex, and population density, as well as other explanatory variables. Full model parameters and estimates are available from the author.

Table 3.2-12 shows the estimated absorption percentage for the four major recreation activities that require specific lands and facilities. Picnicking, swimming, camping, and boating are activities that require specific developed facilities. The other activities listed are dispersed activities that can take place at a variety of undeveloped areas. The estimated 1999 use levels are from Table 3.2-11. The estimated demand is based on the impact zone population (population of all counties within 50-60 miles of the lake). The impact zone population is multiplied by the participation rate for the activity, which was obtained from "Emerging Markets for Outdoor Recreation in the United States: Based on the National Survey on Recreation and the Environment" (Cordell et al., 1996). Participation rates are for the South and are similar to 1995 North Carolina and South Carolina SCORP data. Specific participation rates are as follows: swimming, 37.3%; picnicking, 44.8%; camping, 22.4%; and boating, 45.0%. The product of the impact zone population and participation rates are then multiplied by the estimated of number of days of participation for each activity, which were obtained from the 1995 North Carolina SCORP. The 1999 estimated number of participants for each activity was then divided by the 1999 estimated demand to obtain the estimated absorption percentage. Absorption percentage is defined as the percent of total demand for the impact zone that is met by the individual lake.

Table 3.2-13 provides the estimate of the recreational facilities land acreage needed to meet the future recreational demand through the year 2050. The weighted population is the estimated impact zone population multiplied by the participation rate for each activity. The facility standards and estimated acreage needs for the facility class are based on State SCORPS and FERC Guidelines for Outdoor Recreational Facilities. The facility need is the total facility need for the impact zone based on the weighted population and the facility standards. The total facility need is then multiplied by the absorption percentage to determine the facility need for Lake Rhodhiss. The acreage needs are then based on the Lake Rhodhiss facility need multiplied by per unit acreage needs that are based on State SCORPS and FERC Guidelines for Outdoor Recreation Facilities. For Lake Rhodhiss, it is estimated that 37 acres are required to accommodate future recreational facilities demand through the year 2050. This includes 1 acre of beaches, 3 acres of picnic areas, 11 acres of campsites, and 22 acres of boat ramps.

The estimated acreage needs for the reservoir are total usable acreage needs. Usable land acreage at existing developed public recreational facilities can be counted toward meeting these needs. Duke Power sites, county and state parks, and other private and public agencies will meet these needs. Duke Power is expected to meet a portion of the future recreational land needs. The entire estimated need will be met by a combination of opportunities from all sources.

For Lake Rhodhiss, the most frequently identified recreational facility needs mentioned boat ramps, restrooms and picnic areas. In the past 5 years, 6 new boat ramps have been added to the lake and they are currently underutilized, so no additional boat ramps are proposed at this time. A picnic area is proposed by the Town of Sawmills at the Conley Creek access area. Restrooms will not be provided at unsupervised access areas because of the potential vandalism problems that could occur at these remote sites.

Table 3.2-11
Lake Rhodhiss Estimated Future Recreational Use

Activity Est. 1999 Rec Use Rec Use 2010 Rec Use 2020 Rec Use 2030 Rec Use 2040 Rec Use 2050
Motor Boating* 61,202 66,169 71,301 80,596 92,572 106,968
Boat Fishing* 146,546 169,902 191,927 222,594 250,368 275,646
Bank/Pier Fish 51,564 59,782 67,532 78,323 88,095 96,990
Lake Swimming 51,862 58,794 65,636 76,517 90,231 107,345
Canoeing* 14,075 15,753 17,238 20,198 24,574 31,060
Jet Skiing* 31,561 34,122 36,769 41,562 47,738 55,162
Kayaking* 2,815 3,043 3,279 3,705 4,289 5,067
Tailrace Fishing 5,928 6,873 7,764 9,005 10,128 11,151
Sailing* 0 0 0 0 0 0
Water Ski/Tubing* 32,456 35,090 37,811 42,741 49,092 56,726
Backpacking 5,928 7,641 9,634 12,430 15,591 19,316
Hunting 23,713 24,627 25,214 26,587 27,326 27,928
Tent/Vehicle Camp 17,785 23,415 30,062 39,359 50,701 64,445
Windsurfing 0 0 0 0 0 0
Bicycling 0 0 0 0 0 0
Picnicking 32,158 38,052 44,399 53,928 65,609 79,834
Sightseeing 32,158 39,254 46,939 57,713 70,845 86,356
Hiking 5,928 7,458 9,121 11,397 13,889 16,607
Wildlife Viewing 2,815 3,609 4,555 5,760 6,995 8,177
Using Playgrounds 0 0 0 0 0 0
Sub-total * 288,655 324,079 358,325 411,396 468,633 530,629
Total 518,494 593,584 669,181 782,415 908,043 1,048,777

Table 3.2-12
Lake Rhodhiss Estimated Absorption Percentage for Reservoir

Activity Estimated 1999 Participants Estimated 1999 Demand Absorption Percentage
Swimming 51,862 1,967,369 2.6%
Picnicking 32,158 1,222,707 2.6%
Camping 17,785 476,287 3.1%
Boating 288,655 1,570,910 18.4%

Table 3.2-13
Lake Rhodhiss Estimated Recreational Facility Land Acreage Needs

A B C D E F G H
Activity Year Weighted Population Facility Standard Facility Need Facility Class Lake Rhodhiss Share Acreage
Swimming 2010 281,768 1 per 50,000 5.64 beaches 0.15 0.81
  2020 297,986 1 per 50,000 5.96 beaches 0.15 0.85
  2030 329,460 1 per 50,000 6.59 beaches 0.17 0.94
  2040 362,724 1 per 50,000 7.25 beaches 0.19 1.04
  2050 399,346 1 per 50,000 7.99 beaches 0.21 1.16
Picnicking 2010 338,424 1 per 500 676.85 tables 17.60 1.76
  2020 357,903 1 per 500 715.81 tables 18.61 1.86
  2030 395,706 1 per 500 791.41 tables 20.58 2.06
  2040 435,658 1 per 500 871.32 tables 22.67 2.27
  2050 479,643 1 per 500 959.29 tables 25.26 2.53
Camping 2010 169,212 6 per 1,000 1,015.27 campsites 31.47 7.87
  2020 178,952 6 per 1,000 1,073.71 campsites 33.28 8.32
  2030 197,853 6 per 1,000 1,187.12 campsites 36.80 9.20
  2040 217,829 6 per 1,000 1,306.97 campsites 40.54 10.13
  2050 239,822 6 per 1,000 1,438.93 campsites 45.18 11.29
Boating 2010 339,935 1 per 4000 84.98 boat ramps 15.64 15.64
  2020 359,501 1 per 4000 89.88 boat ramps 16.54 16.54
  2030 397,472 1 per 4000 99.37 boat ramps 18.28 18.28
  2040 437,603 1 per 4000 109.40 boat ramps 20.14 20.14
  2050 481,784 1 per 4000 120.45 boat ramps 22.45 22.45
          Total Acreage for 2050 37.42